The 2016 United States Senate election in North Carolina will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held March 15.[3]

Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election to a third term in office. His primary opponents are Democratic Deborah Ross and Libertarian Sean Haugh.

Republican primary

There had been speculation that Burr might retire,[4] but he said in September 2014 that he was "planning" on running[5] and reaffirmed this in January 2015.[6] If Burr had retired, the seat was expected to draw significant interest, with potential Republican candidates including U.S. Representatives George Holding, Mark Meadows, and Robert Pittenger, Labor Commissioner Cherie K. Berry, Lieutenant Governor Dan Forest, Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler, State Senator Philip E. Berger, and former Ambassador to Denmark James P. Cain.[4][5]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Burr
Greg
Brannon
Paul
Wright
Larry
Holmquist
Undecided
March 11-13, 2016749±3.6%48%20%4%3%24%
March 9-10, 2016734±2.5%56%20%5%3%17%
March 4-7, 2016688±3.8%45%17%7%4%27%
February 14-16, 2016437±2.8%45%14%6%6%30%
February 14-16, 2016597±4.0%56%13%4%3%24%
January 30-February 4, 2016477±4.5%46%10%5%2%37%
January 18-19, 2016433±3.2%55%10%6%5%24%

Results

Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanRichard Burr622,07461.4%
RepublicanGreg Brannon255,03025.2%
RepublicanPaul Wright85,9448.5%
RepublicanLarry Holmquist50,0104.9%
Total votes1,013,058100%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Kevin
Griffin
Ernest
Reeves
Chris
Rey
Deborah
Ross
Undecided
March 11-13, 2016746±3.6%4%8%8%40%41%
March 9-10, 2016669±2.5%9%5%7%52%27%
March 4-7, 2016687±3.8%7%6%9%34%44%
February 14-16, 2016449±2.8%7%3%5%30%55%
February 14-16, 2016575±4.1%10%2%10%22%55%
January 30-February 4, 2016478±4.5%6%4%5%19%66%
January 18-19, 2016461±3.2%14%3%10%19%55%
December 5-7, 2015555± 2.8%15%-5%41%39%
October 23-25, 2015421± 4.8%16%-6%33%45%

Results

Democratic primary results[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDeborah Ross614,41462.32%
DemocraticChris Rey162,86916.52%
DemocraticKevin Griffin115,61811.73%
DemocraticErnest Reeves93,0059.43%
Total votes985,906100%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Burr (R)
Deborah
Ross (D)
Sean
Haugh (L)
Undecided
July 5–11, 2016907±3.3%48%41%10%
June 20–21, 2016947±3.2%40%37%5%18%
June 11–20, 2016300±5.7%36%38%26%
May 20–22, 2016928±3.2%39%36%8%18%
April 23–25, 2016600±4.0%39%38%7%16%
April 22–24, 2016960±3.2%40%36%7%17%
April 10–15, 2016621±3.9%37%33%30%
March 18–20, 2016843±3.4%40%35%7%18%
March 9–10, 20161,576±2.5%48%41%11%
February 14–16, 20161,250±2.8%45%37%18%
February 14–16, 20161,291±2.7%43%37%20%
January 18–19, 2016948±3.2%43%33%23%
December 5–7, 20151,214±2.8%46%35%19%
October 23–25, 2015893±3.3%43%39%18%
September 24–27, 20151,268±2.8%45%34%21%
Aug 12–16, 2015957±3.2%43%36%21%